Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 0.166481 0.194665 0.225640 0.262136 0.303885 0.350075 0.404969
2025-11-09 0.116504 0.153680 0.199028 0.258061 0.332488 0.422780 0.540134
2025-11-16 0.088975 0.128555 0.180745 0.253842 0.352684 0.480671 0.657724
2025-11-23 0.069271 0.108200 0.163036 0.244686 0.361652 0.521358 0.753650
2025-11-30 0.061520 0.102540 0.163562 0.259076 0.402430 0.606634 0.915668
2025-12-07 0.050396 0.089535 0.150942 0.251809 0.410094 0.644791 1.013458
2025-12-14 0.041555 0.078431 0.139258 0.243765 0.414639 0.677467 1.104526
2025-12-21 0.034942 0.069826 0.130135 0.238173 0.421632 0.713436 1.202359
2025-12-28 0.031093 0.065422 0.127323 0.242406 0.444462 0.775414 1.344943
2026-01-04 0.028433 0.062753 0.127090 0.250835 0.474786 0.851444 1.515364
2026-01-11 0.025717 0.059494 0.125262 0.256007 0.499649 0.919969 1.678007
2026-01-18 0.023073 0.055916 0.122295 0.258569 0.519812 0.981656 1.833060
2026-01-25 0.020351 0.051779 0.117814 0.257967 0.534583 1.035980 1.981153
2026-02-01 0.017661 0.047240 0.111909 0.253877 0.542418 1.078694 2.112370
2026-02-08 0.015357 0.043157 0.106349 0.249714 0.549485 1.120221 2.244016
2026-02-15 0.013031 0.038554 0.098954 0.240692 0.545768 1.140978 2.338457
2026-02-22 0.012560 0.038608 0.102110 0.254870 0.590692 1.257620 2.620441
2026-03-01 0.010825 0.034949 0.096042 0.247711 0.590163 1.285618 2.734739
2026-03-08 0.009289 0.031516 0.089991 0.239785 0.587062 1.307991 2.839203
2026-03-15 0.008083 0.028771 0.085233 0.234275 0.588603 1.339626 2.963771
2026-03-22 0.007454 0.027647 0.084504 0.238446 0.612239 1.418434 3.188315
2026-03-29 0.007052 0.027157 0.085398 0.246750 0.646069 1.520887 3.467443
2026-04-05 0.006557 0.026263 0.085055 0.251846 0.672789 1.609874 3.723853